QUICK LINKS

Monday, March 31, 2014

2014 NBA DRAFT PRIMER & DRAFT RANGES UPDATE

The 2014 NBA Draft will be held on June 26th.  The Draft Lottery will be held on May 20th to see who will get first crack at the much hyped class of prospects.  Below is a snapshot of where things stand as of today, a little less than 3 months from draft day.  I'll be doing updates periodically to see how the draft order is shaping up, which picks are likely to move and which prospects are rising and falling.

1ST ROUND PICKS CHANGING HANDS
  • ATLANTA has right to swap picks with BROOKLYN**
  • BOSTON receives the lesser of the ATLANTA/BROOKLYN picks
  • BOSTON receives a top 14 protected pick from PHILADELPHIA**
  • CHARLOTTE receives a top 8 protected pick from DETROIT**
  • CHICAGO receives a top 10 protected pick from CHARLOTTE
  • CHICAGO receives a top 12 protected pick from SACRAMENTO**
  • DENVER receives an unprotected pick from NEW YORK
  • OKLAHOMA CITY receives a top 20 protected pick from DALLAS
  • ORLANDO receives the lesser of the DENVER/NEW YORK picks
  • PHILADELPHIA receives a top 5 protected pick from NEW ORLEANS
  • PHOENIX receives a top 14 protected pick from INDIANA
  • PHOENIX receives a top 13 protected pick from MINNESOTA**
  • PHOENIX receives a top 12 protected pick from WASHINGTON
  • UTAH recieves an unprotected pick from GOLDEN STATE
** - denotes pick that currently would not switch hands due to protection

CURRENT FIRST ROUND DRAFT ORDER

LOTTERY PICKS
  • 01 - MILWAUKEE
  • 02 - PHILADELPHIA
  • 03 - ORLANDO
  • 04 - UTAH
  • 05 - BOSTON
  • 06 - SACRAMENTO
  • 07 - L.A. LAKERS
  • 08 - DETROIT
  • 09 - CLEVELAND
  • 10 - DENVER (from NEW YORK)
  • 11 - ORLANDO (from DENVER)
  • 12 - PHILADELPHIA (from NEW ORLEANS)
  • 13 - MINNESOTA
  • 14 - MEMPHIS
PLAYOFF TEAM PICKS
  • 15 - ATLANTA
  • 16 - CHICAGO (from CHARLOTTE)
  • 17 - PHOENIX (from WASHINGTON)
  • 18 - BOSTON (from BROOKLYN)
  • 19 - CHICAGO
  • 20 - TORONTO
  • 21 - OKLAHOMA CITY (from DALLAS)
  • 22 - PHOENIX
  • 23 - UTAH (from GOLDEN STATE)
  • 24 - CHARLOTTE (from PORTLAND)
  • 25 - HOUSTON
  • 26 - MIAMI
  • 27 - L.A. CLIPPERS
  • 28 - PHOENIX (from INDIANA)
  • 29 - OKLAHOMA CITY
  • 30 - SAN ANTONIO

POTENTIAL PRE-LOTTERY DRAFT PICK MOVEMENT
  • PICKS 1 & 2 - Milwaukee continues its 2-game lead over Philadelphia with each team having 9 games remaining
  • PICKS 3-5 - Orlando has played well enough to allow Utah & Boston to sniff the 3-spot.  Orlando has a 2-game advantage over the Jazz and a 2 1/2 game lead over the Celtics.  The Magic & Jazz have 8 games left each with 5 coming at home while Boston has 9 to go with 6 road games remaining.
  • PICKS 6-8 - The Kings & Lakers each hold a 1-game lead over the Pistons w/ Sacramento currently holding the tie-breaker.  They both have 9 games left with 5 coming at home while Detroit has 6 of their last 9 games on the road.  Detroit's pick would go to Charlotte if they fall outside the top 8.
  • PICKS 9-12 - It's pretty cloudy in this area.  Cleveland holds a 1.5-game lead over the Knicks for the 9th pick.  The Knicks are up 1.5 games on both Denver & New Orleans.  The Knicks pick goes to the Nuggets if their record is worse otherwise it heads to Orlando.  The Pelicans pick heads to Philly if it remains outside the top 5.  The Cavs have 7 games left, 4 at home.  New York has 8 games left, 4 at home.  Denver has 9 games left w/ 5 at home and New Orleans has 9 left with 4 at home.
  • PICK NO. 13 - Minnesota is pretty locked in here with 10 games to go which means they'll keep their pick unless the team with the 14th pick defies lottery odds and moves up.
  • PICK NO. 14 - This pick continues to change hands with the race for the last 2 playoff spots out west.  The pick currently belongs to Memphis who are a half game behind both Phoenix & Dallas as of today.  Memphis has 9 games left with 4 coming at home while both the Suns & Mavs have 8 games remaining with just 3 home games left.

EARLY ENTRANTS - WHO'S IN & WHO'S OUT...SO FAR

DECLARED IN

  • KYLE ANDERSON, SF, UCLA
  • CLINT CAPELA, PF, CHALON (FRANCE)
  • JAHII CARSON, PG, ARIZONA STATE
  • SEMAJ CHRISTON, PG, XAVIER
  • TYLER ENNIS, PG, SYRACUSE
  • DANTE EXUM, G, AUSTRALIA INSTITUTE OF SPORT
  • MONTREZL HARRELL, F/C, LOUISVILLE
  • RODNEY HOOD, SF, DUKE
  • MOUHAMMADOU JAITEH, F/C, NANTERRE (FRANCE)
  • ARTEM KLIMENKO, C, AVTODOR (RUSSIA 2ND DIV)
  • ZACH LAVINE, G, UCLA
  • DAVID MICHINEAU, PG, CHALON-REIMS (FRANCE 2ND DIV)
  • VASILIJE MICIC, PG, MEGA VIZURA (SERBIA)
  • JUSUF NURKIC, C, CEDEVITA (CROATIA)
  • LAQUINTON ROSS, G/F, OHIO STATE
  • JAKARR SAMPSON, SF, ST. JOHN'S
  • NOAH VONLEH, PF, INDIANA
  • T.J. WARREN, SF, NORTH CAROLINA STATE

DECLARED OUT

  • R.J. HUNTER, SG, GEORGIA STATE
  • BRICE JOHNSON, PF, NORTH CAROLINA
  • MARCUS PAIGE, PG, NORTH CAROLINA
  • WAYNE SELDEN, SF, KANSAS
  • JUWAN STATEN, PG, WEST VIRGINIA

PROSPECT RANGES

The information below is the current look at averaging out prospect ranks from the top sites available. I have upped the total number of well respected sites to 4 and hope more will be added into the mix as the draft gets closer.  The current sites are Jonathan Givony's DraftExpressChad Ford of ESPN, Kris Habbas' NBA Draft Insider and Gary Parrish's CBS Rankings.  All 4 rankings have been updated in the last week.

CONSENSUS TOP 5 PICKS

Players who are projected as top 5 picks in all 4 rankings.
  • 01. ANDREW WIGGINS, G/F, 6-8/200, Kansas
  • 02. JOEL EMBIID, C, 7-0/240, Kansas
  • 03. JABARI PARKER, F, 6-8/240, Duke
  • 04. JULIUS RANDLE, PF, 6-9/250, Kentucky
Andrew Wiggins jumps into the number one spot after concerns about Joel Embiid's back.  Dante Exum also slides out of consensus top 5 status with Parrish having him ranked 7th overall.

CONSENSUS LOTTERY PICKS

Players who are projected as lottery picks in all 4 rankings.
  • 05. DANTE EXUM, G, 6-6/190, Australia Institute of Sport
  • 06. NOAH VONLEH, PF, 6-10/240, Indiana
  • 07. AARON GORDON, F, 6-9/210, Arizona
  • 08. MARCUS SMART, G, 6-4/200, Oklahoma State
Exum joins this group while Dario Saric drops out with questions of if he'll actually declare or not.  Noah Vonleh shoots up two spots while Marcus Smart drops back 2 places.

CONSENSUS FIRST ROUND PICKS

Players who are projected as first round picks in all 4 rankings.
  • 09. GARY HARRIS, SG, 6-4/210, Michigan State
  • 10. DARIO SARIC, SF, 6-10/225, Cibona (Croatia)
  • 11. DOUG MCDERMOTT, PF, 6-8/225, Creighton
  • 12. RODNEY HOOD, SF, 6-8/185, Duke
  • 13. TYLER ENNIS, PG, 6-2/180, Syracuse
  • 14. WILLIE CAULEY-STEIN, C, 7-0/245, Kentucky
  • 15. CLINT CAPELA, PF, 6-10/210, Chalon (France)
  • 16. JERAMI GRANT, SF, 6-8/205, Syracuse
  • 17. ADREIAN PAYNE, PF, 6-9/215, Michigan State
  • 18. MONTREZL HARRELL, F/C, 6-8/230, Louisville
  • 19. JAMES YOUNG, SF, 6-7/200, Kentucky
  • 20. T.J. WARREN, SF, 6-8/230, North Carolina State
  • 21. NIK STAUSKAS, SG, 6-6/205, Michigan
Montrezl Harrell & T.J. Warren now join the group of first round locks thanks to their success during the NCAA tournament.  Sam Dekker, K.J. McDaniels, Rondae Hollis-Jefferson & Mario Hezonja all fall from the ranks of first round locks.

PROBABLE FIRST ROUND PICKS

Players who are projected as first round picks in 3 of the 4 rankings.
  • 22. KYLE ANDERSON, SF, 6-8/240, UCLA
  • 23. K.J. MCDANIELS, SF, 6-6/200, Clemson
  • 24. RONDAE HOLLIS-JEFFERSON, SF, 6-7/215, Arizona
  • 25. P.J. HAIRSTON, G/F, 6-5/225, Texas Legends (D-League)
  • 26. ZACH LAVINE, G, 6-5/180, UCLA
  • 27. MARIO HEZONJA, SG, 6-6/200, Barcelona (Spain)
  • 30. JUSUF NURKIC, C, 6-11/280, Cedevita (Croatia)

OTHER POTENTIAL FIRST ROUND PICKS

Players who are projected as first round picks in at least 1 of the 4 rankings.
  • 28. SAM DEKKER, SF, 6-7/200, Wisconsin
  • 29. CLEANTHONY EARLY, PF, 6-8/215, Wichita State
  • 32. CHRIS WALKER, SF, 6-9/195, Florida
  • 33. AARON HARRISON, SG, 6-5/210, Kentucky
  • 34. RUSS SMITH, PG, 6-0/160, Louisville
  • 35. SEMAJ CHRISTON, PG, 6-3/185, Xavier
  • 40. ANDREW HARRISON, PG, 6-5/205, Kentucky
  • 44. JORDAN CLARKSON, SG, 6-5/195, Missouri
CONSENSUS SECOND ROUND PICKS

Players who are projected as second round picks in all 4 rankings.
  • 31. ELFRID PAYTON, PG, 6-3/170, Louisiana-Lafayette
  • 36. NICK JOHNSON, SG, 6-3/200, Arizona
  • 37. GLENN ROBINSON III, SF, 6-6/210, Michigan
  • 38. JAHII CARSON, PG, 5-11/165, Arizona State
  • 39. JORDAN ADAMS, SG, 6-5/220, UCLA
  • 41. C.J. WILCOX, SG, 6-5/190, Washington
  • 42. SPENCER DINWIDDIE, SG, 6-6/200, Colorado
  • 43. ISAIAH AUSTIN, C, 7-1/220, Baylor

PROBABLE SECOND ROUND PICKS

Players who are projected as second round picks in 3 of the 4 rankings.
  • 45. DEONTE BURTON, PG, 6-1/185, Nevada
  • 49. CORY JEFFERSON, PF, 6-9/210, Baylor
  • 58. MITCH MCGARY, C, 6-10/265, Michigan
POTENTIAL SECOND ROUND PICKS

Players who are projected as second round picks in 2 of the 4 rankings.
  • 46. JARNELL STOKES, PF, 6-9/255, Tennessee
  • 47. VASILIJE MICIC, PG, 6-5/185, Mega Vizura (Serbia)
  • 48. ALEX POYTHRESS, F, 6-8/240, Kentucky
  • 51. JAMES MCADOO, PF, 6-9/225, North Carolina
  • 52. DWIGHT POWELL, F/C, 6-10/210, Stanford
  • 53. JORDAN MCRAE, G/F, 6-5/175, Tennessee
  • 59. LAQUINTON ROSS, G/F, 6-8/220, Ohio State
  • 60. BOGDAN BOGDANOVIC, SG, 6-5/205, Partizan (Serbia)
  • 61. RON BAKER, PG, 6-3/215, Wichita State
  • 62. SHABAZZ NAPIER, PG, 6-0/170, Connecticut
  • 63. PATRIC YOUNG, F/C, 6-9/250, Florida
  • 64. RASHEED SULAIMON, SG, 6-4/185, Duke
  • 65. A.J. HAMMONS, C, 7-0/280, Purdue
  • 66. BOBBY PORTIS, PF, 6-11/230, Arkansas
  • 67. DAKARI JOHNSON, C, 6-10/250, Kentucky
  • 82. FRANK KAMINSKY, C, 7-0/235, Wisconsin*
  • 83. PERRY ELLIS, SF, 6-8/225, Kansas*
* - denotes player rated as a 2nd rd pick in 2 drafts but not ranked at all in other 2.

OTHER POSSIBLE SECOND ROUND PICKS

Players who are projected as second round picks in 1 of the 4 rankings.
  • 50. KALEB TARCZEWSKI, C, 7-0/230, Arizona
  • 54. C.J. FAIR, SF, 6-8/205, Syracuse
  • 55. LEBRYAN NASH, SF, 6-7/220, Oklahoma State
  • 56. JORDAN BACHYNSKI, C, 7-2/250, Arizona State
  • 68. KRISTAPS PORZINGIS, PF, 6-11/220, Cajasol (Spain)*
  • 69. ILIMANE DIOP, C, 6-11/225, Laboral Kutxa (Spain)*
  • 70. BRANDEN DAWSON, SF, 6-6/205, Michigan State
  • 71. JORDAN MICKEY, PF, 6-8/220, LSU
  • 72. JABARI BROWN, SG, 6-5/215, Missouri
  • 73. JABARI BIRD, SG, 6-6/190, California*
  • 74. RASMUS LARSEN, PF, 6-10/215, Manresa (Spain)
  • 84. JOHNNY O'BRYANT, C, 6-9/255, LSU*
  • 86. WALTER TAVARES, C, 7-2/265, Gran Canaria (Spain)
  • 88. DEVYN MARBLE, SG, 6-6/195, Iowa
  • 104. DEANDRE DANIELS, SF, 6-9/195, Connecticut**
  • 105. MAMDOU NDIAYE, C, 7-6/290, UC Irvine**
  • 106. KENNETH SMITH, PG, 6-3/180, Louisiana Tech**
  • 107. BUDDY HIELD, SG, 6-4/200, Oklahoma**
* - denotes player rated as a 1st rd pick in 1 draft but rated as undrafted in other 3.
** - denotes player rated as a 2nd rd pick in 1 draft but not ranked at all in other 3.


No comments:

Post a Comment